Analysis of the poverty rate and its impact on the phenomenon of international asylum, the People’s Republic of China, a case study for the period 2010-2023

الملخص

Poverty and international asylum are complicated issues that need a thorough examination of the social, political, and economic variables that influence them. Poverty is the most significant of these elements, and it ultimately causes economic instability. The purpose of this study is to use the standard program to examine the idea of poverty and how it affects the phenomena of international asylum in China from 2010 to 2023. Using (ARDL) model, the connection between the variables was examined. The study came to several results, one of which was that there was a long-term negative correlation between the number of foreign refugees and poverty rates. We can show that during the research period, poverty had an impact on asylum applicants in China. Additionally, the short-term analysis demonstrates that the research variables have a short-term inverse connection. The fact that the Chinese economy is the second largest in the world behind the US economy and has grown rapidly in recent years does not change this. Because it is possible to address the factors that contribute to the emergence of international asylum by lowering poverty rates and enhancing political, social, and economic conditions, as well as by achieving sustainable development in nations that export refugees, there is interest in studying the relationship between poverty and international asylum. Keywords: poverty, the Chinese economy, international asylum, and the ARDL model